Prologue: I've been giving more up to date thoughts on twitter. If you're interested, you can follow me here: https://twitter.com/ndwork. It's been a tough three months in the stock market. Whereas many observers thought this drop was unwarranted, I gave many reasons for it in my last blog post. After the recent correction, where do … Continue reading The Market: What’s Coming?
On 4/2/2018, I predicted that the economy was starting another recession and that stock prices would drop dramatically. With my own savings, I took almost all of my money out of the stock market and put it (largely) in two places: short term CDs (3-6 months) and gold (the GLD ETF). (Note that this wasn't … Continue reading An Economic Projection
In this article, I will present different disease types and order them from external to internal. We will see that our approaches to each disease differ through these categories. Note that this is not an exhaustive list of categories (i.e. some diseases may not fall into these categories, and some diseases may fall into more … Continue reading A Hierarchy of Diseases
By definition, the probability of event A given event B is And so we can play the following game: (This just means that the probability of A and B is the same as the probability of B and A.) This is equivalent to Now we can divide both sides by P(A), and we get Bayes' … Continue reading A Minor Insight Into Bayes’ Theorem
Russia gave us (what should have been) a gift. They wasted their money on unsubstantiated propaganda. What more could a nation hope for than having a most significant possible military opponent waste their money on useless commercials. The problem? We fell for it. Unsubstantiated propaganda should never have gotten through to our minds. But after … Continue reading A Russian Gift Returned
Semi-annually, the Aurea Foundation holds debates on pertinent topics. On 05/18/2018, these Munk debates focused on political correctness . Professor Michael Eric Dyson (of Georgetown University) and columnist Michelle Goldberg (of the New York Times) argued for political correctness. Professor Jordan Peterson (the The University of Toronto) and actor Stephen Fry argued against political correctness. … Continue reading Thoughts Regarding the Munk Debate on Political Correctness
The amount that we pay in taxes is hidden from us by dividing it into various streams; we pay income taxes, sales tax, employment tax, social security tax, snack tax, sin tax, and special taxes on special goods. It is enlightening to realize how much we pay in taxes. As an example, I will consider … Continue reading How Much Do We Pay in Taxes?